With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under its mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats—ruling Fidesz-KDNP alliance, led by incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, faces a serious challenge from Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party. Recent polls, including Medián's March survey showing Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, indicate opposition momentum amid economic discontent and EU tensions, though pro-government Nézőpont projects Fidesz-KDNP securing 66 districts. Conflicting surveys highlight uncertainty in translating national vote shares to seats, where incumbency and turnout in battlegrounds could prove decisive, with a supermajority threshold at 133 seats. Voter intimidation allegations add volatility ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВенгрия Выборы: Fidesz-KDNP выигрывает___места?
Венгрия Выборы: Fidesz-KDNP выигрывает___места?
$182,986 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
60+
89%
70+
65%
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45%
90+
40%
100+
29%
110+
19%
$182,986 Объем
60+
$365 Объем
89%
70+
$207 Объем
65%
80+
$110,370 Объем
45%
90+
$48,134 Объем
40%
100+
$10,407 Объем
29%
110+
$13,502 Объем
19%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under its mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats—ruling Fidesz-KDNP alliance, led by incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, faces a serious challenge from Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party. Recent polls, including Medián's March survey showing Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, indicate opposition momentum amid economic discontent and EU tensions, though pro-government Nézőpont projects Fidesz-KDNP securing 66 districts. Conflicting surveys highlight uncertainty in translating national vote shares to seats, where incumbency and turnout in battlegrounds could prove decisive, with a supermajority threshold at 133 seats. Voter intimidation allegations add volatility ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Объем
$182,986Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under its mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats—ruling Fidesz-KDNP alliance, led by incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, faces a serious challenge from Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party. Recent polls, including Medián's March survey showing Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, indicate opposition momentum amid economic discontent and EU tensions, though pro-government Nézőpont projects Fidesz-KDNP securing 66 districts. Conflicting surveys highlight uncertainty in translating national vote shares to seats, where incumbency and turnout in battlegrounds could prove decisive, with a supermajority threshold at 133 seats. Voter intimidation allegations add volatility ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$182,986Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 1, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12 under its mixed electoral system—106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats—ruling Fidesz-KDNP alliance, led by incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán, faces a serious challenge from Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party. Recent polls, including Medián's March survey showing Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35% among decided voters, indicate opposition momentum amid economic discontent and EU tensions, though pro-government Nézőpont projects Fidesz-KDNP securing 66 districts. Conflicting surveys highlight uncertainty in translating national vote shares to seats, where incumbency and turnout in battlegrounds could prove decisive, with a supermajority threshold at 133 seats. Voter intimidation allegations add volatility ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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