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How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?

Market icon

How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?

218 100.0%

210 or fewer <1%

211 <1%

212 <1%

Polymarket

$436,875 Объем

218 100.0%

210 or fewer <1%

211 <1%

212 <1%

Polymarket

$436,875 Объем

210 or fewer

$17,510 Объем

No

211

$5,354 Объем

No

212

$5,096 Объем

No

213

$714 Объем

No

214

$3,701 Объем

No

215

$2,931 Объем

No

216

$210,373 Объем

No

217

$2,809 Объем

No

218

$171,306 Объем

Yes

219

$2,891 Объем

No

220 or more

$14,189 Объем

No

The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 210 or fewer votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$436,875
Дата окончания
Jan 3, 2025
Дата создания
Jan 2, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
The election for the 2025 Speaker of the United States House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on January 3, 2025, on the opening day of the 119th United States Congress. This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 210 or fewer votes for Mike Johnson in the first ballot cast for US Speaker of the House. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a person other than Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "210 or less" market will resolve to "Yes". If Mike Johnson is elected on the first ballot via a procedure that does not produce a recorded tally of votes, the "220 or more" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "218" at 100%, followed by "210 or fewer" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?" has generated $436.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?" is "218" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "210 or fewer" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.