Market icon

Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?

Market icon

Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?

Ended: Mar 14

Mar 14

Ended: Mar 14

Mar 14

$2,222,672 Объем

Mar 14, 2026
Polymarket

$2,222,672 Объем

Polymarket

1+ день

$983,794 Объем

Нет

2+ дня

$151,218 Объем

Нет

3+ дня

$147,654 Объем

Нет

4+ дня

$143,599 Объем

Нет

5+ дней

$127,736 Объем

Нет

6+ дней

$68,782 Объем

Нет

7+ дней

$187,724 Объем

Нет

10+ дней

$42,703 Объем

Нет

14+ дней

$142,702 Объем

Нет

21+ дней

$56,054 Объем

Нет

30+ дней

$170,707 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and the government remains shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations.

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown.

If no qualifying shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution sources for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$2,222,672
Дата окончания
Mar 14, 2026
Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US government shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET and the government remains shut down for the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying government shutdown will be defined as having begun when the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the government is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. Partial shutdowns count as shutdowns; announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather do not qualify as a shutdown. If no qualifying shutdown begins by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution sources for this market will be OPM’s Operating Status page (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/), information from official U.S. Government sources, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1+ день" at 0%, followed by "2+ дня" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" is "1+ день" at just 0%, with "2+ дня" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Как долго продлится приостановка работы правительства?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.