Polymarket traders price a modest 55% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,350 by June 30, reflecting cooling upside momentum after May's record highs near $2,450 amid softer U.S. CPI data fueling Fed rate cut bets. Key drivers include persistent central bank buying—China and India added 200+ tonnes YTD—and geopolitical risks in the Middle East bolstering safe-haven demand, offset by a rebounding U.S. dollar index (DXY at 105.5) and rising 10-year Treasury yields (4.45%). Watch June 28 PCE inflation for dot-plot updates and potential September cut confirmation; a print above 0.2% monthly could cap gold below the threshold, while sub-0.1% reignites rally odds. Historical EOM volatility averages 2.5% swings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$37,090 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
8%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
22%
$5 600
30%
$5,400
28%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
47%
$4 600
51%
$37,090 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
8%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
22%
$5 600
30%
$5,400
28%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
47%
$4 600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a modest 55% implied probability for Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,350 by June 30, reflecting cooling upside momentum after May's record highs near $2,450 amid softer U.S. CPI data fueling Fed rate cut bets. Key drivers include persistent central bank buying—China and India added 200+ tonnes YTD—and geopolitical risks in the Middle East bolstering safe-haven demand, offset by a rebounding U.S. dollar index (DXY at 105.5) and rising 10-year Treasury yields (4.45%). Watch June 28 PCE inflation for dot-plot updates and potential September cut confirmation; a print above 0.2% monthly could cap gold below the threshold, while sub-0.1% reignites rally odds. Historical EOM volatility averages 2.5% swings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы