Polymarket traders assign a 68% implied probability to Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,400 by end of June, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by persistent inflation pressures and Fed rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data at 3.3% year-over-year. Current GC spot hovers near $2,325/oz, up 1.2% weekly amid a weakening DXY at 104.5 and sub-4% 10-year real yields, which bolster gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge. Key risks include hawkish FOMC signals from the June 11-12 meeting or strong June NFP on July 5, potentially capping upside; watch $2,350 resistance for breakout cues ahead of month-end settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$24,071 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
11%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
22%
$5 600
26%
$5,400
28%
$5 200
41%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
46%
$4 600
51%
$24,071 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
11%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
22%
$5 600
26%
$5,400
28%
$5 200
41%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
46%
$4 600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 68% implied probability to Gold (GC) futures closing above $2,400 by end of June, reflecting bullish sentiment fueled by persistent inflation pressures and Fed rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data at 3.3% year-over-year. Current GC spot hovers near $2,325/oz, up 1.2% weekly amid a weakening DXY at 104.5 and sub-4% 10-year real yields, which bolster gold's appeal as a non-yielding hedge. Key risks include hawkish FOMC signals from the June 11-12 meeting or strong June NFP on July 5, potentially capping upside; watch $2,350 resistance for breakout cues ahead of month-end settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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