Polymarket traders price a 58% implied probability for gold (GC) futures settling above $2,350 by June 28 COMEX close, driven primarily by persistent Fed rate cut bets offsetting hotter-than-expected May CPI data that briefly strengthened the USD to 105.50 on DXY. Gold holds near $2,335/oz after a 14% YTD rally fueled by central bank buying (2,000+ tonnes in 2024) and Middle East tensions, though real yields ticking up to 2.1% on 10Y TIPS pose downside risks. Critical ahead: June 11-12 FOMC, with CME FedWatch showing 72% odds of no June cut but September easing; softer PCE Friday could catalyze a breakout above $2,370 resistance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$19,990 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
9%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
11%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
15%
$5,400
20%
$5 200
41%
5 000 долларов США
43%
$4,800
47%
$4 600
48%
$19,990 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
9%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
11%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
15%
$5,400
20%
$5 200
41%
5 000 долларов США
43%
$4,800
47%
$4 600
48%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders price a 58% implied probability for gold (GC) futures settling above $2,350 by June 28 COMEX close, driven primarily by persistent Fed rate cut bets offsetting hotter-than-expected May CPI data that briefly strengthened the USD to 105.50 on DXY. Gold holds near $2,335/oz after a 14% YTD rally fueled by central bank buying (2,000+ tonnes in 2024) and Middle East tensions, though real yields ticking up to 2.1% on 10Y TIPS pose downside risks. Critical ahead: June 11-12 FOMC, with CME FedWatch showing 72% odds of no June cut but September easing; softer PCE Friday could catalyze a breakout above $2,370 resistance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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