Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability for gold futures (GC) to close above $2,400 by June 30, driven primarily by persistent expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation, offset by a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields. Spot gold trades near $2,320/oz after a 3% pullback last week, pressured by hawkish Fed rhetoric and robust U.S. jobs data. Key catalysts ahead include June 7 nonfarm payrolls, June 12 CPI release, and the FOMC meeting, where markets price a 70% chance of steady rates but dot-plot shifts could sway sentiment. Sustained central bank buying and geopolitical tensions provide tailwinds, though a hawkish pivot risks sub-$2,300 levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$37,982 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
13%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
26%
$5,400
28%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
46%
$4 600
51%
$37,982 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
13%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
26%
$5,400
28%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
46%
$4 600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 42% probability for gold futures (GC) to close above $2,400 by June 30, driven primarily by persistent expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation, offset by a strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields. Spot gold trades near $2,320/oz after a 3% pullback last week, pressured by hawkish Fed rhetoric and robust U.S. jobs data. Key catalysts ahead include June 7 nonfarm payrolls, June 12 CPI release, and the FOMC meeting, where markets price a 70% chance of steady rates but dot-plot shifts could sway sentiment. Sustained central bank buying and geopolitical tensions provide tailwinds, though a hawkish pivot risks sub-$2,300 levels.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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