Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a [65]% implied probability for gold futures (GC) closing above $2,350 by June 30, propelled by cooling U.S. inflation signals and heightened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with CME FedWatch Tool showing 62% odds of a September 25bps cut. Spot gold holds near $2,325 after peaking above $2,450 last week amid a softening dollar (DXY at 105.8) and declining real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.15%). Central bank purchases, including China's ongoing accumulation, provide tailwinds, though renewed risk-on flows could cap upside. Key watch: June 28 PCE inflation release, where core below 0.1% MoM could accelerate bullish positioning, while upside surprises risk reversal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$24,071 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
9%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
23%
$5,400
27%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
46%
$4 600
51%
$24,071 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
9%
$6,500
5%
$6 200
9%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
19%
$5 600
23%
$5,400
27%
$5 200
40%
5 000 долларов США
38%
$4,800
46%
$4 600
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a [65]% implied probability for gold futures (GC) closing above $2,350 by June 30, propelled by cooling U.S. inflation signals and heightened Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with CME FedWatch Tool showing 62% odds of a September 25bps cut. Spot gold holds near $2,325 after peaking above $2,450 last week amid a softening dollar (DXY at 105.8) and declining real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.15%). Central bank purchases, including China's ongoing accumulation, provide tailwinds, though renewed risk-on flows could cap upside. Key watch: June 28 PCE inflation release, where core below 0.1% MoM could accelerate bullish positioning, while upside surprises risk reversal.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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