Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted toward gold (GC) futures closing above key thresholds by June end, driven primarily by Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer April CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, weakening the U.S. dollar index to 105. Spot gold holds near $2,340/oz amid persistent central bank purchases—over 1,000 tonnes in 2024 per World Gold Council—and Middle East geopolitical risks bolstering safe-haven demand. June FOMC meeting on June 11-12 looms as pivotal, with markets pricing 70bps cuts by year-end per CME FedWatch; a dovish pivot could propel prices past $2,400. Historical precedent shows gold rallying 5-10% post-first cuts, though renewed USD strength from strong jobs data risks capping upside.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЗолото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
Золото (GC) выше ___ в конце июня?
$43,351 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
4%
$6,500
7%
$6 200
8%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
12%
$5 600
18%
$5,400
39%
$5 200
34%
5 000 долларов США
44%
$4,800
57%
$4 600
70%
$43,351 Объем
$8,000
2%
$7 000
4%
$6,500
7%
$6 200
8%
$6 000
10%
$5 800
12%
$5 600
18%
$5,400
39%
$5 200
34%
5 000 долларов США
44%
$4,800
57%
$4 600
70%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted toward gold (GC) futures closing above key thresholds by June end, driven primarily by Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer April CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, weakening the U.S. dollar index to 105. Spot gold holds near $2,340/oz amid persistent central bank purchases—over 1,000 tonnes in 2024 per World Gold Council—and Middle East geopolitical risks bolstering safe-haven demand. June FOMC meeting on June 11-12 looms as pivotal, with markets pricing 70bps cuts by year-end per CME FedWatch; a dovish pivot could propel prices past $2,400. Historical precedent shows gold rallying 5-10% post-first cuts, though renewed USD strength from strong jobs data risks capping upside.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы