Trader consensus on Polymarket has tilted toward gold (GC futures) surpassing $2,400 by June 30, fueled by persistent Fed rate cut expectations amid cooling U.S. inflation—April CPI rose just 3.4% YoY, the softest in three years. Real yields on 10-year TIPS have plunged to 2.1%, a key tailwind for non-yielding gold, while the DXY dollar index weakened 1.5% last week. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and record central bank purchases (1,200 tonnes in 2024) add support. Watch May CPI (May 15), NFP (June 7), and FOMC (June 11-12) for volatility; hotter data could trigger a pullback to $2,300 support as markets price only a 30% June cut probability per CME FedWatch.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу июня?
Что будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу июня?
$2,078,063 Объем
↑ $10 000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ $6 000
12%
↑ $5 700
24%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4 200
62%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ $3,400
7%
$2,078,063 Объем
↑ $10 000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ $6 000
12%
↑ $5 700
24%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4 200
62%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ $3,400
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has tilted toward gold (GC futures) surpassing $2,400 by June 30, fueled by persistent Fed rate cut expectations amid cooling U.S. inflation—April CPI rose just 3.4% YoY, the softest in three years. Real yields on 10-year TIPS have plunged to 2.1%, a key tailwind for non-yielding gold, while the DXY dollar index weakened 1.5% last week. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East and record central bank purchases (1,200 tonnes in 2024) add support. Watch May CPI (May 15), NFP (June 7), and FOMC (June 11-12) for volatility; hotter data could trigger a pullback to $2,300 support as markets price only a 30% June cut probability per CME FedWatch.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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