Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC futures) sustaining above $2,400/oz by June 30, driven primarily by Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data (headline 3.3% YoY) and persistent USD weakness, with DXY index near 104. Central bank buying, especially from China and India, adds tailwinds, while geopolitical risks in the Middle East bolster safe-haven demand. Current GC spot hovers at $2,370, implying 65% odds of testing $2,450 highs per aggregated trader capital. Watch June 12 FOMC minutes and July 1 PCE inflation release for volatility; a hawkish surprise could cap upside below $2,350. Historical June seasonality favors modest gains amid summer lulls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу июня?
Что будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу июня?
$2,128,808 Объем
↑ $10 000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
6%
↑ $6,200
7%
↑ $6 000
14%
↑ $5 700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4 200
61%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ $3,400
11%
$2,128,808 Объем
↑ $10 000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
6%
↑ $6,200
7%
↑ $6 000
14%
↑ $5 700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4 200
61%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ $3,400
11%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC futures) sustaining above $2,400/oz by June 30, driven primarily by Federal Reserve rate cut expectations following softer May CPI data (headline 3.3% YoY) and persistent USD weakness, with DXY index near 104. Central bank buying, especially from China and India, adds tailwinds, while geopolitical risks in the Middle East bolster safe-haven demand. Current GC spot hovers at $2,370, implying 65% odds of testing $2,450 highs per aggregated trader capital. Watch June 12 FOMC minutes and July 1 PCE inflation release for volatility; a hawkish surprise could cap upside below $2,350. Historical June seasonality favors modest gains amid summer lulls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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