Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold (GC) futures by end-June hinges on heightened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with CME FedWatch Tool implying 70% odds of a September start amid cooling inflation data like May CPI at 3.3% YoY. Spot gold trades near $2,335/oz, up 15% YTD, fueled by a weakening USD (DXY at 104.5) and persistent central bank buying, including China's recent 2-tonne addition. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven tailwinds. Key watch: June 12 FOMC meeting for dot-plot updates; sustained real yields below 2% could push GC toward $2,400, while hotter data risks pullback to $2,250 support. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-backed views on these dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЧто будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу июня?
Что будет с золотом (GC) __ к концу июня?
$2,116,674 Объем
↑ $10 000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6 000
13%
↑ $5 700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4 200
59%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ $3,400
9%
$2,116,674 Объем
↑ $10 000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6 000
13%
↑ $5 700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4 200
59%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ $3,400
9%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for gold (GC) futures by end-June hinges on heightened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with CME FedWatch Tool implying 70% odds of a September start amid cooling inflation data like May CPI at 3.3% YoY. Spot gold trades near $2,335/oz, up 15% YTD, fueled by a weakening USD (DXY at 104.5) and persistent central bank buying, including China's recent 2-tonne addition. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven tailwinds. Key watch: June 12 FOMC meeting for dot-plot updates; sustained real yields below 2% could push GC toward $2,400, while hotter data risks pullback to $2,250 support. Market-implied odds aggregate capital-backed views on these dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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