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Выборы·Флорида

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Выборы·Флорида

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 9.7%

Maisha Williams 5.7%

Dale Holness 4.7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Elijah Manley 28%

Rudy Moise 9.7%

Maisha Williams 5.7%

Dale Holness 4.7%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Elijah Manley

$2,185 Объем

35%

Rudy Moise

$846 Объем

10%

Maisha Williams

$299 Объем

6%

Dale Holness

$1,645 Объем

5%

Luther Campbell

$264 Объем

4%

Mark Douglas

$274 Объем

2%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Объем

1%

Дебби Вассерман Шульц

$148 Объем

61%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the FL-20 Democratic primary field at 44.5% amid redistricting that shifted her into the plurality-Black Broward-Palm Beach district after her prior seat was redrawn. Recent polls show her ahead on name recognition and fundraising, yet Elijah Manley trails at 30.5% as the strongest challenger in a race shaped by backlash from Black Democratic leaders and candidates who view her entry as reducing Black representation. Four Black contenders, including Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, held closed-door talks in the past week to consolidate support and avoid splitting the vote ahead of the August 18 primary. The remaining candidates trail below 9%, reflecting a fragmented field where consolidation efforts and voter priorities on district demographics continue to influence trader assessments of the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$6,447
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the FL-20 Democratic primary field at 44.5% amid redistricting that shifted her into the plurality-Black Broward-Palm Beach district after her prior seat was redrawn. Recent polls show her ahead on name recognition and fundraising, yet Elijah Manley trails at 30.5% as the strongest challenger in a race shaped by backlash from Black Democratic leaders and candidates who view her entry as reducing Black representation. Four Black contenders, including Manley, Luther Campbell, Dale Holness, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, held closed-door talks in the past week to consolidate support and avoid splitting the vote ahead of the August 18 primary. The remaining candidates trail below 9%, reflecting a fragmented field where consolidation efforts and voter priorities on district demographics continue to influence trader assessments of the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$6,447
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Дебби Вассерман Шульц» с 61%, за ним следует «Elijah Manley» с 35%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Дебби Вассерман Шульц» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Elijah Manley» с 35%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.