WTI crude oil futures have surged over 5% in the past week to near $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict risks that have overridden bearish fundamentals like rising US inventories. The latest EIA report showed commercial crude stocks climbing 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million for the week ending March 20, signaling ample supply, while OPEC+ opted for a modest 206,000 barrels per day production increase starting April despite regional volatility. Trader consensus reflects heightened geopolitical premiums, with forecasts diverging: EIA sees Brent easing below $80 by Q3 amid potential demand softening, but supply shocks could sustain elevated levels through June. Watch weekly EIA inventories and the April 5 OPEC+ JMMC meeting for shifts in the market-implied path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПопадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
Попадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
$2,701,878 Объем
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
17%
↑ $150
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
45%
↑ $120
57%
↑ $115
63%
↑ $110
71%
↑ $105
79%
↑ $100
89%
↓ $85
70%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
38%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $55
13%
↓ $52
7%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
4%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
3%
$2,701,878 Объем
↑ $200
14%
↑ $175
17%
↑ $150
26%
↑ $140
35%
↑ $130
45%
↑ $120
57%
↑ $115
63%
↑ $110
71%
↑ $105
79%
↑ $100
89%
↓ $85
70%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
38%
↓ $60
19%
↓ $55
13%
↓ $52
7%
↓ $50
6%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
4%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
3%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have surged over 5% in the past week to near $100 per barrel—the highest since July 2022—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran conflict risks that have overridden bearish fundamentals like rising US inventories. The latest EIA report showed commercial crude stocks climbing 6.9 million barrels to 456.2 million for the week ending March 20, signaling ample supply, while OPEC+ opted for a modest 206,000 barrels per day production increase starting April despite regional volatility. Trader consensus reflects heightened geopolitical premiums, with forecasts diverging: EIA sees Brent easing below $80 by Q3 amid potential demand softening, but supply shocks could sustain elevated levels through June. Watch weekly EIA inventories and the April 5 OPEC+ JMMC meeting for shifts in the market-implied path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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