Traders in Polymarket's Crude Oil (CL) market are pricing probabilities based on a supply overhang amid softening demand signals, with WTI front-month futures trading near $81.50 per barrel after a 3% weekly decline. Key drivers include last week's EIA report showing a surprise 5.8 million barrel inventory build—versus expectations for a draw—and OPEC+'s June 2 decision to maintain deep cuts through September but signal gradual unwinding from October, easing near-term scarcity fears. Weak U.S. gasoline demand during peak summer driving season, coupled with China's sluggish economic recovery, caps upside. Watch the June 26 EIA storage data and early hurricane season developments, which could sway prices toward or away from the end-June threshold amid volatile geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПопадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
Попадет ли сырая нефть (CL) на __ к концу июня?
$2,316,851 Объем
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
48%
↑ $115
53%
↑ $110
68%
↑ $105
74%
↑ $100
74%
↓ $85
83%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,316,851 Объем
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
29%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
48%
↑ $115
53%
↑ $110
68%
↑ $105
74%
↑ $100
74%
↓ $85
83%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
5%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders in Polymarket's Crude Oil (CL) market are pricing probabilities based on a supply overhang amid softening demand signals, with WTI front-month futures trading near $81.50 per barrel after a 3% weekly decline. Key drivers include last week's EIA report showing a surprise 5.8 million barrel inventory build—versus expectations for a draw—and OPEC+'s June 2 decision to maintain deep cuts through September but signal gradual unwinding from October, easing near-term scarcity fears. Weak U.S. gasoline demand during peak summer driving season, coupled with China's sluggish economic recovery, caps upside. Watch the June 26 EIA storage data and early hurricane season developments, which could sway prices toward or away from the end-June threshold amid volatile geopolitical risks in the Middle East.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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