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2025 January hottest on record?

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2025 January hottest on record?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$3,493,430 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$3,493,430 Объем

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior January when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for January 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for January, and if 2025 January is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 January is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior January when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for January 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for January, and if 2025 January is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 January is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$3,493,430
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2024, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior January when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for January 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for January, and if 2025 January is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 January is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior January when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for January 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for January, and if 2025 January is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 January is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior January when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for January 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for January, and if 2025 January is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 January is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Объем
$3,493,430
Дата окончания
31 янв. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2024, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior January when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for January 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for January, and if 2025 January is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 January is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2025 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«2025 January hottest on record?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «2025 January hottest on record?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.5 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 29, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «2025 January hottest on record?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «2025 January hottest on record?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «2025 January hottest on record?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.