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US Bank previsões e probabilidades

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US bank failure by May 31?

US bank failure by May 31?

5%

$9.2K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

4%

Lloyds

$500K Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

11%

BMO

$22.3K Vol.

$70.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?

13%

$3.6K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

U19 World Cup: Bangladesh Under-19s vs USA Under-19s - More Markets

-

$2.6K Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

23%

$1M Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

66

Ends em 9 meses

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$77.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

81%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.3K Vol.

$76.0K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

20%

$1.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US Catanzaro 1929 vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets

US Catanzaro 1929 vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets

-

$7.3K Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

44%

800–900B

$21.0K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$262 Vol.

$78 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

12%

$10.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

3%

$14.9K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$167K today

$238K Liq.

477

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

46%

$130 Vol.

$147 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends em 13 dias

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?

99%

$715

$2.0K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Team Top Batter

Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Ireland Women vs USA Women - Team Top Batter

-

$66 Vol.

Ends há 4 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

60%

$568K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Bank.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for US Bank that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US bank failure by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Bank predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.