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Estado Da UniãO previsões e probabilidades

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Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

-

$2.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

5%

$157K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

3%

$151K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

2%

$17.6K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

80%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.4K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

82%

June 30

$21M Vol.

$836K today

$143K Liq.

484

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

91%

June 7

$230K Vol.

$230K today

$114K Liq.

2

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

18%

$42.6K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

10%

$4.0K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

18%

May 31

$158K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

10

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

10%

$17.6K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

9

Ends em 7 meses

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?

81%

$1.7K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

10%

$31.3K Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

51%

60-79

$8.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

17%

$87.3K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 26 - June 2, 2026?

32%

60-79

$873 Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

38%

$3M Vol.

$114K Liq.

18

Ends em 5 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

What will Trump post this week? (May 24)

100%

Gun

$14.8K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 3 horas

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

16%

$18.7K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

12%

$9.6K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Estado Da UniãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Estado Da UniãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Longest applause at State of the Union?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Estado Da UniãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.