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PréMio Nobel Da Paz previsões e probabilidades

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

9%

Donald Trump

$17M Vol.

$521K today

$1M Liq.

173

Ends em 5 meses

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

12%

$4.7K Vol.

$441 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

53%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$251K today

$274K Liq.

462

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

<1%

Nuclear

$7M Vol.

$5M today

$2M Liq.

1,030

Ends há cerca de 18 horas

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?

2%

$17.2K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

15%

$14.0K Vol.

$661 Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

4%

May 31

$164K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

23

Ends em 15 dias

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

77%

Jacob Tsimerman

$522K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

99%

World Cup

$7.6K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

What will Trump say this week? (May 17)

97%

Wind

$80.8K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

6%

$75.6K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

89%

Nothing

$84.9K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

16%

June 30

$867K Vol.

$67.6K Liq.

14

Ends em 15 dias

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$79.5K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

52%

Petro - Colombia President

$303K Vol.

$193K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

64%

$559K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

48%

May 17

$326K Vol.

$188K today

$18.4K Liq.

17

Ends em 1 dia

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

6%

June 30

$592K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

38

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

11%

$6.8K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

10%

$552K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

31

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for PréMio Nobel Da Paz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $45.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 53% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PréMio Nobel Da Paz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.