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Moderador previsões e probabilidades

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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

94%

Moderates

$125K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

14

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

91%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$1M Vol.

$92.7K Liq.

8

Ends em 4 meses

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

44%

80-99

$7.1K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

27%

May 31

$30.3K Vol.

$629 Liq.

4

Ends em 14 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

35%

80-99

$833 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

50%

80-99

$18.7K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Donstu Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Donstu Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Donstu Esports

$532 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

49%

Starmer - UK PM

$352K Vol.

$272K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Next Real Madrid manager?

Next Real Madrid manager?

94%

Jose Mourinho

$146K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

15

Ends em 8 meses

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

VP.Prodigy

$10 Vol.

Ends há 19 dias

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends em 14 dias

Counter-Strike: Avanti Esport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Avanti Esport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

GamerLegion

$587 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 meses

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs RoundsGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs RoundsGG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

RoundsGG

$40 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há 3 dias

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

95%

Republican

$10.6K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

95%

Democrat

$13.0K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs BRAWLSTARS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

VP.Prodigy

$26 Vol.

Ends há 19 dias

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

48%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$385K today

$233K Liq.

473

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

May 31

$145K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

10

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

41%

June 30

$117K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Moderador.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Moderador that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Avanti Esport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 48% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Moderador predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.