Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 66% implied probability as Real Madrid president Florentino Pérez's preferred choice to replace current head coach Álvaro Arbeloa, following reports from David Ornstein and Mario Cortegana last week amid the club's Champions League exit and trophyless campaign pressures. Arbeloa, promoted internally from the academy in January 2026 after Xabi Alonso's mid-season dismissal, holds strong at 49.5% as traders weigh his Bernabéu ties and potential to steady the squad despite recent poor form and dressing room issues. Deschamps at 16% gains traction as a post-World Cup option, while Iraola and Pochettino linger on stylistic fit and availability, reflecting uncertainty over Pérez's final shortlist before La Liga's close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJosé Mourinho 66%
Didier Deschamps 16.0%
Mauricio Pochettino 7.8%
Jurgen Klopp 5.0%
$66,106 Vol.
$66,106 Vol.
José Mourinho
66%
Didier Deschamps
16%
Mauricio Pochettino
8%
Jurgen Klopp
5%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
3%
Unai Emery
2%
Luis Enrique
2%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
9%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
José Mourinho 66%
Didier Deschamps 16.0%
Mauricio Pochettino 7.8%
Jurgen Klopp 5.0%
$66,106 Vol.
$66,106 Vol.
José Mourinho
66%
Didier Deschamps
16%
Mauricio Pochettino
8%
Jurgen Klopp
5%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Massimiliano Allegri
3%
Unai Emery
2%
Luis Enrique
2%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Thomas Tuchel
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Oliver Glasner
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Andoni Iraola
9%
Julian Nagelsmann
6%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 66% implied probability as Real Madrid president Florentino Pérez's preferred choice to replace current head coach Álvaro Arbeloa, following reports from David Ornstein and Mario Cortegana last week amid the club's Champions League exit and trophyless campaign pressures. Arbeloa, promoted internally from the academy in January 2026 after Xabi Alonso's mid-season dismissal, holds strong at 49.5% as traders weigh his Bernabéu ties and potential to steady the squad despite recent poor form and dressing room issues. Deschamps at 16% gains traction as a post-World Cup option, while Iraola and Pochettino linger on stylistic fit and availability, reflecting uncertainty over Pérez's final shortlist before La Liga's close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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