Skip to main content

InteligêNcia Geral Artificial previsões e probabilidades

·
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

5%

Garden / Grove

$16.9K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

2

Ends há 1 dia

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

49%

Péter Magyar

$463 Vol.

$261K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

$78.2K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

11

Ends em 7 meses

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

<1%

May 31

$160K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

7

Ends em 29 dias

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

33%

50%+

$24.5K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends em 29 dias

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

2%

$282K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

81

Ends em 7 meses

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

26%

$75.3K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

83%

$4.8K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

69%

1550

$8.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

$99.4K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

11%

$108K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 29 dias

Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above __ ?

Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above __ ?

98%

$10.5B

$24.4K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 2 dias

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

89%

July 31

$348K Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

92%

Anthropic

$14.1K Vol.

$73.2K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of June?

85%

Anthropic

$5.7K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

47%

June 8–June 14

$39.6K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends em 27 dias

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

83%

December 31, 2026

$329K Vol.

$15.9K Liq.

44

Ends há 5 meses

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

69%

1530

$8.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

39%

1600

$5.1K Vol.

$714 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like InteligêNcia Geral Artificial.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for InteligêNcia Geral Artificial that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “AI bubble burst by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “AI bubble burst by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 22% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on InteligêNcia Geral Artificial predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.