Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

83%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$821K today

$744K Liq.

380

Ends há 4 dias

Next President of Vietnam

Next President of Vietnam

95%

Tô Lâm

$30M Vol.

$488K today

$518K Liq.

246

Ends há 2 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

93%

Eric Schmitt

$95.0K Vol.

$85.7K today

$144K Liq.

5

Ends em 3 meses

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

36%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$77.2K today

$351K Liq.

887

Ends em 9 meses

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

47%

No Meeting by June 30

$544K Vol.

$192K Liq.

10

Ends em 3 meses

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

54%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$92.8K Liq.

Ends há 4 dias

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

Next Prime Minister of Vietnam

95%

Lê Minh Hưng

$16M Vol.

$282K Liq.

206

Ends há 2 meses

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

9%

April 30

$291K Vol.

$55.7K Liq.

6

Ends em 26 dias

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

48%

Tulsi Gabbard

$2.2K Vol.

$46.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

53%

$164K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

21

Ends em 3 meses

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

30%

Leadership Change

$31.8K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 meses

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?

84%

Epic Fury

$848 Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

10%

$121K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

12%

$5.7K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

22%

December 31

$592K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

11

Ends em 9 meses

Next President of Benin

Next President of Benin

99%

Romuald Wadagni

$8.2K Vol.

$22.8K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 dias

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

9%

$26.5K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

3

Ends em 26 dias

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$46.3K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 9 meses

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?

43%

30 - 35 minutes

$4 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 26 dias

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

74%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Actuando.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for Actuando that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $68.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next President of Vietnam,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next President of Vietnam,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 95% chance to Tô Lâm. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Actuando predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.