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EleiçõEs 2024 previsões e probabilidades

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Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

58%

Christopher Luxon

$3.5K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

$3M Vol.

$341K Liq.

7

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

17%

$88.4K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

10

Ends em 7 meses

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

92%

$172K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

19

Ends em 7 meses

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

30%

Below 190

$251K Vol.

$151K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

39%

24–25

$677K Vol.

$89.6K Liq.

4

Ends em 5 meses

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

82%

Democratic Party

$7M Vol.

$598K Liq.

1

Ends em 5 meses

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

53%

Republican Party

$3M Vol.

$328K Liq.

66

Ends em 5 meses

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

99%

Mette Frederiksen

$9M Vol.

$80.7K today

$273K Liq.

179

Ends há 2 meses

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

81%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$117K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

32

Ends em 6 meses

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

81%

10+

$39.4K Vol.

$78.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

41%

3

$49.7K Vol.

$70.0K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

96%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$47.0K Vol.

$141K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Berlin State Election Winner

Berlin State Election Winner

28%

CDU

$3M Vol.

$215K Liq.

6

Ends em 4 meses

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

3%

10-12

$59.5K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

1

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

65%

0

$4.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

42%

7-9

$2.1K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

54%

2

$6.0K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

99%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$3M Vol.

$609K Liq.

5

Ends em cerca de 16 horas

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: 2nd Place

92%

CDU

$47.7K Vol.

$98.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like EleiçõEs 2024.

Polymarket currently hosts 126 active markets for EleiçõEs 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $28.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Mette Frederiksen. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on EleiçõEs 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.