Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
O Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
$3,575,077 Vol.
31 mar 2026
↑ US$ 10.000
Não
↑ $7.000
Não
↑ US$ 6.600
Não
↑ $6.400
Não
↑ $6.200
Não
↑ US$ 6.000
Não
↑ $5.800
Não
↑ US$ 5.600
Não
↑ $5.500
Não
↑ $5.400
Não
↓ $5.200
Sim
↓ $5.100
Sim
↓ $5.000
Sim
↓ $4.900
Sim
↓ $4.700
Sim
↓ $4.500
Sim
↓ US$ 4.300
Não
↓ US$ 4.000
Não
↓ $3.600
Não
↓ US$ 3.000
Não
$3,575,077 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
$326,861 Vol.
Não
↑ $7.000
$366,061 Vol.
Não
↑ US$ 6.600
$108,345 Vol.
Não
↑ $6.400
$80,552 Vol.
Não
↑ $6.200
$110,991 Vol.
Não
↑ US$ 6.000
$70,780 Vol.
Não
↑ $5.800
$114,631 Vol.
Não
↑ US$ 5.600
$81,298 Vol.
Não
↑ $5.500
$80,503 Vol.
Não
↑ $5.400
$238,052 Vol.
Não
↓ $5.200
$143,436 Vol.
Sim
↓ $5.100
$0 Vol.
Sim
↓ $5.000
$0 Vol.
Sim
↓ $4.900
$0 Vol.
Sim
↓ $4.700
$496,005 Vol.
Sim
↓ $4.500
$0 Vol.
Sim
↓ US$ 4.300
$252,994 Vol.
Não
↓ US$ 4.000
$318,001 Vol.
Não
↓ $3.600
$285,458 Vol.
Não
↓ US$ 3.000
$501,107 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$3,575,077Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$3,575,077Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Trader consensus on Polymarket's Gold (GC) futures market reflected a sharp sentiment shift in March 2026, as prices plunged over 12%—the steepest monthly drop since 2008—closing near $4,650 per ounce on March 31 CME settlement. A surging U.S. dollar index and climbing 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5% pressured the non-yielding asset, fueled by hawkish Federal Reserve signals holding rates steady amid persistent inflation above 2.7% PCE target. Fading rate-cut bets post-March FOMC erased earlier gains from 2025's rally, with profit-taking amplifying the downturn despite Middle East tensions. Key April catalysts include March CPI on April 10 and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, potentially swaying rate path expectations and gold's rebound trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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