Gold futures (GC) have surged over 12% year-to-date, trading near $2,160 per ounce amid trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and safe-haven demand from Middle East escalations, with implied probabilities for a June policy easing at 75% per CME FedWatch Tool. February CPI rose 3.2% year-over-year—cooler than expected—driving a 2% weekly gold rally, while real 10-year Treasury yields dipped to -1.85% and the DXY dollar index weakened 1.5%. Central bank buying, including China's record purchases, bolsters support above $2,100. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI data, FOMC meeting March 19-20, and Powell's congressional testimony, where hotter inflation or hawkish signals could pressure prices toward resolution by month-end. Prediction markets reflect this crowded bullish consensus backed by real capital.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
O Gold (GC) atingirá __ até o final de março?
$2,712,261 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ US$ 6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ US$ 6.000
<1%
↑ $5.800
<1%
↑ US$ 5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
<1%
↑ $5.400
1%
↓ US$ 4.300
25%
↓ US$ 4.000
7%
↓ $3.600
1%
↓ US$ 3.000
<1%
$2,712,261 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ US$ 6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ US$ 6.000
<1%
↑ $5.800
<1%
↑ US$ 5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
<1%
↑ $5.400
1%
↓ US$ 4.300
25%
↓ US$ 4.000
7%
↓ $3.600
1%
↓ US$ 3.000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have surged over 12% year-to-date, trading near $2,160 per ounce amid trader bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and safe-haven demand from Middle East escalations, with implied probabilities for a June policy easing at 75% per CME FedWatch Tool. February CPI rose 3.2% year-over-year—cooler than expected—driving a 2% weekly gold rally, while real 10-year Treasury yields dipped to -1.85% and the DXY dollar index weakened 1.5%. Central bank buying, including China's record purchases, bolsters support above $2,100. Key catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI data, FOMC meeting March 19-20, and Powell's congressional testimony, where hotter inflation or hawkish signals could pressure prices toward resolution by month-end. Prediction markets reflect this crowded bullish consensus backed by real capital.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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