Trader consensus heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump Cabinet departure at 57%, driven by a cascade of recent scandals at the Department of Labor, including the March 20 resignation of her bodyguard amid affair allegations, the early March exodus of her top aides following a White House ultimatum, and an ongoing inspector general probe into misconduct, travel fraud, and misuse of funds. Her husband's February barring from the department over assault claims has compounded the turmoil, prompting calls for resignation and highlighting internal dysfunction. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trail at 11.8% and 10.2%, reflecting past confirmation battles but no comparable fresh catalysts. Following Kristi Noem's March 6 removal as Homeland Security Secretary, markets anticipate further turnover amid high historical rates in Trump's second term.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoLori Chavez-DeRemer 57%
Pete Hegseth 11.9%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.6%
Nenhum antes de 2027 6.2%
$1,934,473 Vol.
$1,934,473 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
57%
Pete Hegseth
12%
Tulsi Gabbard
11%
Nenhum antes de 2027
6%
Howard Lutnick
3%
Mike Waltz
2%
Scott Bessent
2%
Russell T. Vought
2%
Brooke Rollins
2%
Sean Duffy
1%
J.D. Vance
1%
Doug Burgum
1%
Doug Collins
1%
Lee Zeldin
1%
Scott Turner
1%
Pam Bondi
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Susie Wiles
1%
John Ratcliffe
1%
Jamieson Greer
1%
Kelly Loeffler
1%
Linda McMahon
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Chris Wright
1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 57%
Pete Hegseth 11.9%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.6%
Nenhum antes de 2027 6.2%
$1,934,473 Vol.
$1,934,473 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$73,296 Vol.
57%
Pete Hegseth
$468,683 Vol.
12%
Tulsi Gabbard
$693,915 Vol.
11%
Nenhum antes de 2027
$409,863 Vol.
6%
Howard Lutnick
$26,207 Vol.
3%
Mike Waltz
$4,379 Vol.
2%
Scott Bessent
$4,573 Vol.
2%
Russell T. Vought
$4,146 Vol.
2%
Brooke Rollins
$6,770 Vol.
2%
Sean Duffy
$67,129 Vol.
1%
J.D. Vance
$7,176 Vol.
1%
Doug Burgum
$6,065 Vol.
1%
Doug Collins
$3,527 Vol.
1%
Lee Zeldin
$70,520 Vol.
1%
Scott Turner
$5,646 Vol.
1%
Pam Bondi
$4,128 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$3,565 Vol.
1%
Susie Wiles
$4,861 Vol.
1%
John Ratcliffe
$4,146 Vol.
1%
Jamieson Greer
$4,846 Vol.
1%
Kelly Loeffler
$3,960 Vol.
1%
Linda McMahon
$9,817 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$50,379 Vol.
1%
Chris Wright
$4,028 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump Cabinet departure at 57%, driven by a cascade of recent scandals at the Department of Labor, including the March 20 resignation of her bodyguard amid affair allegations, the early March exodus of her top aides following a White House ultimatum, and an ongoing inspector general probe into misconduct, travel fraud, and misuse of funds. Her husband's February barring from the department over assault claims has compounded the turmoil, prompting calls for resignation and highlighting internal dysfunction. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trail at 11.8% and 10.2%, reflecting past confirmation battles but no comparable fresh catalysts. Following Kristi Noem's March 6 removal as Homeland Security Secretary, markets anticipate further turnover amid high historical rates in Trump's second term.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Volume
$1,934,473Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump Cabinet departure at 57%, driven by a cascade of recent scandals at the Department of Labor, including the March 20 resignation of her bodyguard amid affair allegations, the early March exodus of her top aides following a White House ultimatum, and an ongoing inspector general probe into misconduct, travel fraud, and misuse of funds. Her husband's February barring from the department over assault claims has compounded the turmoil, prompting calls for resignation and highlighting internal dysfunction. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trail at 11.8% and 10.2%, reflecting past confirmation battles but no comparable fresh catalysts. Following Kristi Noem's March 6 removal as Homeland Security Secretary, markets anticipate further turnover amid high historical rates in Trump's second term.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$1,934,473Data de Término
Dec 31, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer as the next Trump Cabinet departure at 57%, driven by a cascade of recent scandals at the Department of Labor, including the March 20 resignation of her bodyguard amid affair allegations, the early March exodus of her top aides following a White House ultimatum, and an ongoing inspector general probe into misconduct, travel fraud, and misuse of funds. Her husband's February barring from the department over assault claims has compounded the turmoil, prompting calls for resignation and highlighting internal dysfunction. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trail at 11.8% and 10.2%, reflecting past confirmation battles but no comparable fresh catalysts. Following Kristi Noem's March 6 removal as Homeland Security Secretary, markets anticipate further turnover amid high historical rates in Trump's second term.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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