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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$94,298 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket

$94,298 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Freedom Movement (GS)

$18,690 Vol.

70%

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Democrats (D)

$12,358 Vol.

74%

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Social Democrats (SD)

$7,607 Vol.

70%

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Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$478 Vol.

40%

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Resni.ca (Res)

$18,073 Vol.

30%

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The Left (Levica)

$3,767 Vol.

27%

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Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$13,075 Vol.

26%

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New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$2,167 Vol.

32%

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Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$9,244 Vol.

2%

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Party of Generations (SG)

$0 Vol.

2%

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Prerod (PVP)

$2,054 Vol.

13%

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Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$2,620 Vol.

1%

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Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$613 Vol.

1%

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Our Country (ND)

$3,550 Vol.

<1%

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Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$0 Vol.

42%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's proportional representation parliamentary elections on March 22 delivered a narrow win for incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS) with 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, edging out Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats amid a fragmented result featuring the center-right NSi/SLS/Fokus alliance (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Demokrati (6), Resnica (5), and Levica (5). No majority emerged, prompting President Nataša Pirc Musar to call for urgent coalition negotiations; Golob initiated broad talks Friday, excluding SDS while courting smaller kingmaker parties. Traders eye ongoing discussions and the president's forthcoming mandate for a prime ministerial candidate, with historical patterns showing prolonged bargaining in hung parliaments.

Slovenia's proportional representation parliamentary elections on March 22 delivered a narrow win for incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS) with 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, edging out Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats amid a fragmented result featuring the center-right NSi/SLS/Fokus alliance (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Demokrati (6), Resnica (5), and Levica (5). No majority emerged, prompting President Nataša Pirc Musar to call for urgent coalition negotiations; Golob initiated broad talks Friday, excluding SDS while courting smaller kingmaker parties. Traders eye ongoing discussions and the president's forthcoming mandate for a prime ministerial candidate, with historical patterns showing prolonged bargaining in hung parliaments.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's proportional representation parliamentary elections on March 22 delivered a narrow win for incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS) with 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, edging out Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats amid a fragmented result featuring the center-right NSi/SLS/Fokus alliance (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Demokrati (6), Resnica (5), and Levica (5). No majority emerged, prompting President Nataša Pirc Musar to call for urgent coalition negotiations; Golob initiated broad talks Friday, excluding SDS while courting smaller kingmaker parties. Traders eye ongoing discussions and the president's forthcoming mandate for a prime ministerial candidate, with historical patterns showing prolonged bargaining in hung parliaments.

Slovenia's proportional representation parliamentary elections on March 22 delivered a narrow win for incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS) with 29 seats in the 90-seat National Assembly, edging out Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats amid a fragmented result featuring the center-right NSi/SLS/Fokus alliance (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Demokrati (6), Resnica (5), and Levica (5). No majority emerged, prompting President Nataša Pirc Musar to call for urgent coalition negotiations; Golob initiated broad talks Friday, excluding SDS while courting smaller kingmaker parties. Traders eye ongoing discussions and the president's forthcoming mandate for a prime ministerial candidate, with historical patterns showing prolonged bargaining in hung parliaments.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Democrats (D)" at 74%, followed by "Freedom Movement (GS)" at 70%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" has generated $94.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is "Democrats (D)" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Freedom Movement (GS)" at 70%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.