Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Após 30 de abril 57.0%

21-24 de abril 12.3%

13 a 16 de abril 12.3%

17-20 de abril 11.9%

Polymarket

$483,616 Vol.

Após 30 de abril 57.0%

21-24 de abril 12.3%

13 a 16 de abril 12.3%

17-20 de abril 11.9%

Polymarket

$483,616 Vol.

Antes de 1º de abril

$31,146 Vol.

2%

1 a 4 de abril

$2,765 Vol.

2%

5-8 de abril

$2,875 Vol.

2%

9 a 12 de abril

$2,429 Vol.

2%

13 a 16 de abril

$8,536 Vol.

12%

17-20 de abril

$387,445 Vol.

12%

21-24 de abril

$37,511 Vol.

12%

25 a 28 de abril

$2,853 Vol.

2%

29-30 de abril

$2,839 Vol.

2%

Após 30 de abril

$5,218 Vol.

57%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now exceeding 44 days and the longest in U.S. history since February 14, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement reforms, with Republicans pushing clean funding for ICE and CBP while Democrats demand restrictions, driving trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 57%. Recent House passage of a 60-day continuing resolution failed to advance in the Senate, where Democrats rejected it amid policy disputes, and lawmakers recessed until the week of April 13, delaying floor votes or negotiations. Mid-April bins like April 13-16 and 17-20 at around 12% each reflect hopes for post-recess breakthroughs, though repeated bill failures and impacts on TSA operations signal prolonged uncertainty.

The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now exceeding 44 days and the longest in U.S. history since February 14, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement reforms, with Republicans pushing clean funding for ICE and CBP while Democrats demand restrictions, driving trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 57%. Recent House passage of a 60-day continuing resolution failed to advance in the Senate, where Democrats rejected it amid policy disputes, and lawmakers recessed until the week of April 13, delaying floor votes or negotiations. Mid-April bins like April 13-16 and 17-20 at around 12% each reflect hopes for post-recess breakthroughs, though repeated bill failures and impacts on TSA operations signal prolonged uncertainty.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now exceeding 44 days and the longest in U.S. history since February 14, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement reforms, with Republicans pushing clean funding for ICE and CBP while Democrats demand restrictions, driving trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 57%. Recent House passage of a 60-day continuing resolution failed to advance in the Senate, where Democrats rejected it amid policy disputes, and lawmakers recessed until the week of April 13, delaying floor votes or negotiations. Mid-April bins like April 13-16 and 17-20 at around 12% each reflect hopes for post-recess breakthroughs, though repeated bill failures and impacts on TSA operations signal prolonged uncertainty.

The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now exceeding 44 days and the longest in U.S. history since February 14, stems from congressional impasse over appropriations tied to immigration enforcement reforms, with Republicans pushing clean funding for ICE and CBP while Democrats demand restrictions, driving trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 57%. Recent House passage of a 60-day continuing resolution failed to advance in the Senate, where Democrats rejected it amid policy disputes, and lawmakers recessed until the week of April 13, delaying floor votes or negotiations. Mid-April bins like April 13-16 and 17-20 at around 12% each reflect hopes for post-recess breakthroughs, though repeated bill failures and impacts on TSA operations signal prolonged uncertainty.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Após 30 de abril" at 57%, followed by "13 a 16 de abril" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" has generated $483.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is "Após 30 de abril" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13 a 16 de abril" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.