Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight race across early April timelines for ending the DHS shutdown, with "Before April 1" leading at 30.5% amid stalled bipartisan negotiations on appropriations. House Republicans passed a stopgap continuing resolution last week conditioning DHS funding on stricter border security measures via CBP and ICE, but Senate Democrats objected to proposed spending cuts, forcing talks into overtime just before the latest deadline. Partisan holdouts on both sides, including Freedom Caucus demands and progressive opposition, keep probabilities evenly spread, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing prolonged uncertainty. A White House-brokered deal or cloture vote could tip odds toward earlier resolution, while filibuster threats signal potential drag past mid-April.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoAntes de 1º de abril 30%
9 a 12 de abril 27%
13 a 16 de abril 27%
17-20 de abril 27%
Antes de 1º de abril
30%
1 a 4 de abril
25%
5-8 de abril
27%
9 a 12 de abril
27%
13 a 16 de abril
27%
17-20 de abril
27%
21-24 de abril
26%
25 a 28 de abril
26%
29-30 de abril
26%
Após 30 de abril
25%
Antes de 1º de abril 30%
9 a 12 de abril 27%
13 a 16 de abril 27%
17-20 de abril 27%
Antes de 1º de abril
30%
1 a 4 de abril
25%
5-8 de abril
27%
9 a 12 de abril
27%
13 a 16 de abril
27%
17-20 de abril
27%
21-24 de abril
26%
25 a 28 de abril
26%
29-30 de abril
26%
Após 30 de abril
25%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight race across early April timelines for ending the DHS shutdown, with "Before April 1" leading at 30.5% amid stalled bipartisan negotiations on appropriations. House Republicans passed a stopgap continuing resolution last week conditioning DHS funding on stricter border security measures via CBP and ICE, but Senate Democrats objected to proposed spending cuts, forcing talks into overtime just before the latest deadline. Partisan holdouts on both sides, including Freedom Caucus demands and progressive opposition, keep probabilities evenly spread, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in pricing prolonged uncertainty. A White House-brokered deal or cloture vote could tip odds toward earlier resolution, while filibuster threats signal potential drag past mid-April.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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