Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans toward a Hang Seng Index (HSI) stabilization or mild rebound in March, with market-implied odds favoring levels around 16,500–17,500 as traders price in potential Chinese policy easing against ongoing economic headwinds. The HSI ended February near 16,400, down over 10% year-to-date, dragged by property developer distress, subdued consumer spending, and capital outflows amid high US yields. Primary catalysts include the National People's Congress (March 5–11) for stimulus signals from Beijing, alongside March 31 PMI data gauging factory activity recovery. Global dynamics like Fed rate cut expectations could bolster risk assets, though US-China tensions cap upside, underscoring HSI's sensitivity to mainland growth proxies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNEW
Apr 1, 2026
↓ 20700
3%
↓ 20400
1%
↓ 20100
5%
↓ 19650
2%
↓ 19200
36%
↓ 18600
1%
↓ 17850
3%
$744 Vol.
↓ 20700
$0 Vol.
3%
↓ 20400
$0 Vol.
1%
↓ 20100
$0 Vol.
5%
↓ 19650
$354 Vol.
2%
↓ 19200
$0 Vol.
36%
↓ 18600
$390 Vol.
1%
↓ 17850
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$744Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for Hang Seng (HSI) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Hang Seng (HSI).
Note: Hang Seng (HSI) is represented by ^HSI on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$744Data de Término
Apr 1, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EHSI/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans toward a Hang Seng Index (HSI) stabilization or mild rebound in March, with market-implied odds favoring levels around 16,500–17,500 as traders price in potential Chinese policy easing against ongoing economic headwinds. The HSI ended February near 16,400, down over 10% year-to-date, dragged by property developer distress, subdued consumer spending, and capital outflows amid high US yields. Primary catalysts include the National People's Congress (March 5–11) for stimulus signals from Beijing, alongside March 31 PMI data gauging factory activity recovery. Global dynamics like Fed rate cut expectations could bolster risk assets, though US-China tensions cap upside, underscoring HSI's sensitivity to mainland growth proxies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions