Geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict and surging oil prices have driven the S&P 500's 4.6% Q1 decline to 6,583, positioning it below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages since late February and mid-March, respectively, fueling trader caution for further near-term pressure through June. The index snapped a five-week losing streak this week amid hopes for de-escalation, but elevated energy costs and inflation risks persist amid solid U.S. economic growth and consumer spending. Key catalysts ahead include April bank earnings starting this week, FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17, monthly CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, and Q2 GDP data, which could shift rate cut expectations and equity valuations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$31,644 Vol.
30 jun 2026
↑ $8.000
2%
↑ $7.700
4%
↑ $7.450
8%
↑ $7.300
13%
↑ $7.150
17%
↑ $7.050
35%
↓ $6.300
69%
↓ US$ 6.000
42%
$31,644 Vol.
↑ $8.000
$2,631 Vol.
2%
↑ $7.700
$1,792 Vol.
4%
↑ $7.450
$1,340 Vol.
8%
↑ $7.300
$1,492 Vol.
13%
↑ $7.150
$3,094 Vol.
17%
↑ $7.050
$6,205 Vol.
35%
↓ $6.300
$5,881 Vol.
69%
↓ US$ 6.000
$7,702 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict and surging oil prices have driven the S&P 500's 4.6% Q1 decline to 6,583, positioning it below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages since late February and mid-March, respectively, fueling trader caution for further near-term pressure through June. The index snapped a five-week losing streak this week amid hopes for de-escalation, but elevated energy costs and inflation risks persist amid solid U.S. economic growth and consumer spending. Key catalysts ahead include April bank earnings starting this week, FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17, monthly CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, and Q2 GDP data, which could shift rate cut expectations and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
Volume
$31,644Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict and surging oil prices have driven the S&P 500's 4.6% Q1 decline to 6,583, positioning it below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages since late February and mid-March, respectively, fueling trader caution for further near-term pressure through June. The index snapped a five-week losing streak this week amid hopes for de-escalation, but elevated energy costs and inflation risks persist amid solid U.S. economic growth and consumer spending. Key catalysts ahead include April bank earnings starting this week, FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17, monthly CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, and Q2 GDP data, which could shift rate cut expectations and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$31,644Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from the Iran conflict and surging oil prices have driven the S&P 500's 4.6% Q1 decline to 6,583, positioning it below both 50-day and 200-day moving averages since late February and mid-March, respectively, fueling trader caution for further near-term pressure through June. The index snapped a five-week losing streak this week amid hopes for de-escalation, but elevated energy costs and inflation risks persist amid solid U.S. economic growth and consumer spending. Key catalysts ahead include April bank earnings starting this week, FOMC meetings on April 28-29 and June 16-17, monthly CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases, and Q2 GDP data, which could shift rate cut expectations and equity valuations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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