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Finanças·Esconder Do Novo

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?

Market icon
Finanças·Esconder Do Novo

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?

dez 31

dez 31

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$5,062 Vol.

Polymarket

>US$38.000

$1,454 Vol.

28%

>US$33.000

$1,248 Vol.

6%

>$30.000

$596 Vol.

9%

>US$ 27.000

$65 Vol.

22%

>$24.000

$548 Vol.

42%

>$19.000

$1,151 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 trades near 24,000 in early April 2026, down nearly 5% year-to-date amid a recent correction fueled by AI exhaustion and rotation from megacap tech stocks into defensives. February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000 with unemployment steady at 4.4%, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold fed funds steady at 3.5%-3.75% in March, reflecting balanced risks from cooling labor yet sticky inflation. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices year-end levels against structural tailwinds like $700 billion in projected 2026 AI capex, offset by stretched valuations and rate path uncertainty. Watch March jobs data tomorrow, Q1 earnings from Nvidia and peers next week, and the April 28-29 FOMC for sentiment pivots.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$5,062
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 trades near 24,000 in early April 2026, down nearly 5% year-to-date amid a recent correction fueled by AI exhaustion and rotation from megacap tech stocks into defensives. February nonfarm payrolls fell 92,000 with unemployment steady at 4.4%, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold fed funds steady at 3.5%-3.75% in March, reflecting balanced risks from cooling labor yet sticky inflation. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices year-end levels against structural tailwinds like $700 billion in projected 2026 AI capex, offset by stretched valuations and rate path uncertainty. Watch March jobs data tomorrow, Q1 earnings from Nvidia and peers next week, and the April 28-29 FOMC for sentiment pivots.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$5,062
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$19.000" at 82%, followed by ">$24.000" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?" is ">$19.000" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$24.000" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.