Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong optimism for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) sustaining elevated levels through year-end 2026, driven by robust artificial intelligence capital expenditures and earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, which dominate over 50% of the index weight. The NDX recently closed at a record 26,672, up 1.3% daily and 6.8% weekly amid Middle East de-escalation easing risk premiums, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% fueled by cooling inflation (March 2026 CPI at 2.4%) and Federal Reserve rate cuts to 4.25-4.50%. Analyst forecasts project 30,000-35,000 by December, implying 12-30% upside, though stretched valuations (forward P/E near 30x) heighten correction risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q1 earnings this week, April nonfarm payrolls, and the May FOMC meeting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) acima de ___ final de 2026?
NOVO
31 dez 2026
>US$38.000
30%
>US$33.000
8%
>$30.000
17%
>US$ 27.000
27%
>$24.000
49%
>$19.000
87%
$7,821 Vol.
>US$38.000
$1,459 Vol.
30%
>US$33.000
$1,650 Vol.
8%
>$30.000
$770 Vol.
17%
>US$ 27.000
$1,302 Vol.
27%
>$24.000
$1,241 Vol.
49%
>$19.000
$1,398 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong optimism for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) sustaining elevated levels through year-end 2026, driven by robust artificial intelligence capital expenditures and earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, which dominate over 50% of the index weight. The NDX recently closed at a record 26,672, up 1.3% daily and 6.8% weekly amid Middle East de-escalation easing risk premiums, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% fueled by cooling inflation (March 2026 CPI at 2.4%) and Federal Reserve rate cuts to 4.25-4.50%. Analyst forecasts project 30,000-35,000 by December, implying 12-30% upside, though stretched valuations (forward P/E near 30x) heighten correction risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q1 earnings this week, April nonfarm payrolls, and the May FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
Volume
$7,821Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong optimism for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) sustaining elevated levels through year-end 2026, driven by robust artificial intelligence capital expenditures and earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, which dominate over 50% of the index weight. The NDX recently closed at a record 26,672, up 1.3% daily and 6.8% weekly amid Middle East de-escalation easing risk premiums, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% fueled by cooling inflation (March 2026 CPI at 2.4%) and Federal Reserve rate cuts to 4.25-4.50%. Analyst forecasts project 30,000-35,000 by December, implying 12-30% upside, though stretched valuations (forward P/E near 30x) heighten correction risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q1 earnings this week, April nonfarm payrolls, and the May FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$7,821Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects strong optimism for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) sustaining elevated levels through year-end 2026, driven by robust artificial intelligence capital expenditures and earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple, which dominate over 50% of the index weight. The NDX recently closed at a record 26,672, up 1.3% daily and 6.8% weekly amid Middle East de-escalation easing risk premiums, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% fueled by cooling inflation (March 2026 CPI at 2.4%) and Federal Reserve rate cuts to 4.25-4.50%. Analyst forecasts project 30,000-35,000 by December, implying 12-30% upside, though stretched valuations (forward P/E near 30x) heighten correction risks. Upcoming catalysts include Q1 earnings this week, April nonfarm payrolls, and the May FOMC meeting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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