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Finanças·Esconder Do Novo

O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?

Market icon
Finanças·Esconder Do Novo

O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?

11:59PM Mar 31

11:59PM Apr 30

11:59PM Mar 31

11:59PM Apr 30

$265,344 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$265,344 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $570

$30,422 Vol.

<1%

↑ US$ 533

$55,165 Vol.

<1%

↑ $503

$10,421 Vol.

<1%

↑ US$ 473

$3,072 Vol.

<1%

↑ $450

$4,177 Vol.

2%

↑ $435

$900 Vol.

12%

↑ $420

$3,968 Vol.

2%

↓ $353

$7,294 Vol.

41%

↓ $330

$8,233 Vol.

3%

↓ $300

$9,467 Vol.

3%

↓ $263

$76,374 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Polymarket traders price a 100% implied probability on Tesla (TSLA) share price falling below $405 in March 2026, driven by the stock's March 27 close at $361.83—down 2.76% daily and over 15% from early-month highs near $390—amid confirmation of no cheaper Model 3 launch in China this year and analyst consensus for Q1 2026 deliveries at roughly 365,000 vehicles, signaling potential third straight annual decline. Despite Q4 2025 earnings beat ($0.50 EPS versus $0.45 expected, $24.9 billion revenue), high trailing P/E of 332 reflects stretched valuations vulnerable to EV demand softness and Barclays-noted CapEx risks for AI/semiconductor initiatives. Resolution hinges on March 31 closing price, with Q1 deliveries report and April 21 earnings as key post-month catalysts.

Polymarket traders price a 100% implied probability on Tesla (TSLA) share price falling below $405 in March 2026, driven by the stock's March 27 close at $361.83—down 2.76% daily and over 15% from early-month highs near $390—amid confirmation of no cheaper Model 3 launch in China this year and analyst consensus for Q1 2026 deliveries at roughly 365,000 vehicles, signaling potential third straight annual decline. Despite Q4 2025 earnings beat ($0.50 EPS versus $0.45 expected, $24.9 billion revenue), high trailing P/E of 332 reflects stretched valuations vulnerable to EV demand softness and Barclays-noted CapEx risks for AI/semiconductor initiatives. Resolution hinges on March 31 closing price, with Q1 deliveries report and April 21 earnings as key post-month catalysts.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Polymarket traders price a 100% implied probability on Tesla (TSLA) share price falling below $405 in March 2026, driven by the stock's March 27 close at $361.83—down 2.76% daily and over 15% from early-month highs near $390—amid confirmation of no cheaper Model 3 launch in China this year and analyst consensus for Q1 2026 deliveries at roughly 365,000 vehicles, signaling potential third straight annual decline. Despite Q4 2025 earnings beat ($0.50 EPS versus $0.45 expected, $24.9 billion revenue), high trailing P/E of 332 reflects stretched valuations vulnerable to EV demand softness and Barclays-noted CapEx risks for AI/semiconductor initiatives. Resolution hinges on March 31 closing price, with Q1 deliveries report and April 21 earnings as key post-month catalysts.

Polymarket traders price a 100% implied probability on Tesla (TSLA) share price falling below $405 in March 2026, driven by the stock's March 27 close at $361.83—down 2.76% daily and over 15% from early-month highs near $390—amid confirmation of no cheaper Model 3 launch in China this year and analyst consensus for Q1 2026 deliveries at roughly 365,000 vehicles, signaling potential third straight annual decline. Despite Q4 2025 earnings beat ($0.50 EPS versus $0.45 expected, $24.9 billion revenue), high trailing P/E of 332 reflects stretched valuations vulnerable to EV demand softness and Barclays-noted CapEx risks for AI/semiconductor initiatives. Resolution hinges on March 31 closing price, with Q1 deliveries report and April 21 earnings as key post-month catalysts.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $405" at 100%, followed by "↓ $390" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?" has generated $265.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?" is "↓ $405" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $390" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O que a Tesla (TSLA) atingirá em março de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.