Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição municipal de Sucre (Bolívia)
Vencedor da eleição municipal de Sucre (Bolívia)
Fátima Tardío 100.0%
Franz Tata García <1%
Richard Moscoso <1%
Hebert Marcelo Terrazas <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.

Franz Tata García
Não

Fátima Tardío
Sim

Richard Moscoso
Não

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
Não

Cristian Sanabria
Não

Horacio Poppe
Não

Juan Antonio Jesús
Não

Enrique Leaño
Não

Wilber Chocamani
Não

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
Não

Cecilia Calani
Não

Pablo Arízaga
Não
Fátima Tardío 100.0%
Franz Tata García <1%
Richard Moscoso <1%
Hebert Marcelo Terrazas <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.

Franz Tata García
Não

Fátima Tardío
Sim

Richard Moscoso
Não

Hebert Marcelo Terrazas
Não

Cristian Sanabria
Não

Horacio Poppe
Não

Juan Antonio Jesús
Não

Enrique Leaño
Não

Wilber Chocamani
Não

Erick Marcelo Pedrazas López
Não

Cecilia Calani
Não

Pablo Arízaga
Não
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Fátima Tardío as the virtual certainty to win the Sucre mayoral election in Bolivia's Chuquisaca department, reflecting official results from the March 2021 municipal vote where her MAS party slate secured over 50% of the vote amid low turnout and opposition fragmentation. Her commanding lead stems from strong rural support, incumbent advantages, and rivals like Richard Moscoso and Cristian Sanabria splitting anti-MAS votes. Recent Tribunal Electoral certification has locked in her victory, with minimal post-election disputes. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a recount or Supreme Electoral Tribunal intervention, though no credible evidence has emerged to shift probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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