Trader sentiment on silver's June settlement remains fragmented, with no outcome exceeding 17% implied probability amid competing macroeconomic forces. The leading >$115 bucket at 17% captures bullish bets on aggressive Fed rate cuts post-June 12 FOMC meeting and surging industrial demand from solar and EV sectors, where silver deficits are projected at 184M ounces for 2024 per the Silver Institute. Countering this, $60-$70 (13.8%) and lower bins reflect USD strength—DXY near 105—and recession fears curbing investment demand, as spot silver hovers around $29.20/oz versus June futures at $29.80. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI data on June 12 and gold's correlation, with trader capital split on whether green energy tailwinds outweigh high rates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual será o preço do Silver (SI) em junho?
Qual será o preço do Silver (SI) em junho?
>$115 17%
$60-$70 13.8%
Abaixo de $50 13%
$100-$115 13%
$373,725 Vol.
$373,725 Vol.
Abaixo de $50
13%
$50-$60
12%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
13%
>$115
17%
>$115 17%
$60-$70 13.8%
Abaixo de $50 13%
$100-$115 13%
$373,725 Vol.
$373,725 Vol.
Abaixo de $50
13%
$50-$60
12%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
11%
$80-$90
11%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
13%
>$115
17%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on silver's June settlement remains fragmented, with no outcome exceeding 17% implied probability amid competing macroeconomic forces. The leading >$115 bucket at 17% captures bullish bets on aggressive Fed rate cuts post-June 12 FOMC meeting and surging industrial demand from solar and EV sectors, where silver deficits are projected at 184M ounces for 2024 per the Silver Institute. Countering this, $60-$70 (13.8%) and lower bins reflect USD strength—DXY near 105—and recession fears curbing investment demand, as spot silver hovers around $29.20/oz versus June futures at $29.80. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI data on June 12 and gold's correlation, with trader capital split on whether green energy tailwinds outweigh high rates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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