Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs an $80-85 million opening weekend for "Project Hail Mary," driven by early industry tracking from Deadline Hollywood and Box Office Pro, which peg the Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi adaptation in that precise range based on comparable star vehicles like "The Martian" (inflation-adjusted) and Gosling's post-"Barbie" box office heat. The Andy Weir bestseller's fanbase, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's animation-to-live-action success, and robust first-trailer metrics—over 10 million YouTube views in days—bolster this frontrunner positioning amid light March 2026 competition. Realistic upsets could stem from test screening leaks sparking negative word-of-mouth, a release date shift into a busier frame, or broader market softness from economic headwinds eroding family audiences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBilheteria de fim de semana de abertura do "Projeto Ave Maria"
Bilheteria de fim de semana de abertura do "Projeto Ave Maria"
80-85 milhões 100.0%
<50m <1%
50-55 milhões <1%
55-60 milhões <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<50m
Não
50-55 milhões
Não
55-60 milhões
Não
60-65 milhões
Não
65-70 milhões
Não
70-75 milhões
Não
75-80 milhões
Não
80-85 milhões
Sim
85-90 milhões
Não
>90 milhões
Não
80-85 milhões 100.0%
<50m <1%
50-55 milhões <1%
55-60 milhões <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<50m
Não
50-55 milhões
Não
55-60 milhões
Não
60-65 milhões
Não
65-70 milhões
Não
70-75 milhões
Não
75-80 milhões
Não
80-85 milhões
Sim
85-90 milhões
Não
>90 milhões
Não
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs an $80-85 million opening weekend for "Project Hail Mary," driven by early industry tracking from Deadline Hollywood and Box Office Pro, which peg the Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi adaptation in that precise range based on comparable star vehicles like "The Martian" (inflation-adjusted) and Gosling's post-"Barbie" box office heat. The Andy Weir bestseller's fanbase, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller's animation-to-live-action success, and robust first-trailer metrics—over 10 million YouTube views in days—bolster this frontrunner positioning amid light March 2026 competition. Realistic upsets could stem from test screening leaks sparking negative word-of-mouth, a release date shift into a busier frame, or broader market softness from economic headwinds eroding family audiences.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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