Trader consensus pins Project Hail Mary’s opening weekend at $80-85 million (61.5% implied probability), propelled by Ryan Gosling’s post-Barbie box office magnetism and the sci-fi blockbuster’s timely March 20, 2026 release. Recent first-look images and teaser buzz from Amazon MGM Studios have ignited online excitement, with trailer views surging past 10 million in days, evoking The Martian’s $54 million inflation-adjusted appeal. Directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller’s Lego/Spider-Verse pedigree adds credibility, while light competition post-Oscars supports mid-$80s forecasts from early analyst tracking. The $75-80 million bin (26%) captures caution on presale unknowns, but sub-$70 million odds remain negligible amid strong genre tailwinds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBilheteria de fim de semana de abertura do "Projeto Ave Maria"
Bilheteria de fim de semana de abertura do "Projeto Ave Maria"
80-85 milhões 65%
75-80 milhões 26%
70-75 milhões 4.5%
85-90 milhões 2.9%
$678,339 Vol.
$678,339 Vol.
<50m
<1%
50-55 milhões
<1%
55-60 milhões
<1%
60-65 milhões
<1%
65-70 milhões
<1%
70-75 milhões
5%
75-80 milhões
26%
80-85 milhões
65%
85-90 milhões
3%
>90 milhões
1%
80-85 milhões 65%
75-80 milhões 26%
70-75 milhões 4.5%
85-90 milhões 2.9%
$678,339 Vol.
$678,339 Vol.
<50m
<1%
50-55 milhões
<1%
55-60 milhões
<1%
60-65 milhões
<1%
65-70 milhões
<1%
70-75 milhões
5%
75-80 milhões
26%
80-85 milhões
65%
85-90 milhões
3%
>90 milhões
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins Project Hail Mary’s opening weekend at $80-85 million (61.5% implied probability), propelled by Ryan Gosling’s post-Barbie box office magnetism and the sci-fi blockbuster’s timely March 20, 2026 release. Recent first-look images and teaser buzz from Amazon MGM Studios have ignited online excitement, with trailer views surging past 10 million in days, evoking The Martian’s $54 million inflation-adjusted appeal. Directors Phil Lord and Christopher Miller’s Lego/Spider-Verse pedigree adds credibility, while light competition post-Oscars supports mid-$80s forecasts from early analyst tracking. The $75-80 million bin (26%) captures caution on presale unknowns, but sub-$70 million odds remain negligible amid strong genre tailwinds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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