Ryan Gosling's star power and the sci-fi adaptation's viral trailer have propelled trader consensus toward an $80 million-plus opening for Project Hail Mary, with 80-85m (44%) edging 75-80m (42%) amid strong pre-sale tracking from Amazon MGM Studios. Comparable to The Martian's $54m debut (inflation-adjusted ~$70m), the film's accessible space adventure—buoyed by Andy Weir's fanbase and Lord/Miller's Lego Movie pedigree—fuels optimism, though competition from A Minecraft Movie that March 2026 weekend caps upside potential beyond 85m (5.9%). Critical early buzz and Fandango metrics differentiate it from underperformers, but volatile tracking could shift odds before release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBilheteria de fim de semana de abertura do "Projeto Ave Maria"
Bilheteria de fim de semana de abertura do "Projeto Ave Maria"
80-85 milhões 44%
75-80 milhões 43%
70-75 milhões 7.1%
85-90 milhões 6.5%
$484,274 Vol.
$484,274 Vol.
<50m
<1%
50-55 milhões
<1%
55-60 milhões
<1%
60-65 milhões
1%
65-70 milhões
1%
70-75 milhões
7%
75-80 milhões
43%
80-85 milhões
44%
85-90 milhões
6%
>90 milhões
1%
80-85 milhões 44%
75-80 milhões 43%
70-75 milhões 7.1%
85-90 milhões 6.5%
$484,274 Vol.
$484,274 Vol.
<50m
<1%
50-55 milhões
<1%
55-60 milhões
<1%
60-65 milhões
1%
65-70 milhões
1%
70-75 milhões
7%
75-80 milhões
43%
80-85 milhões
44%
85-90 milhões
6%
>90 milhões
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ryan Gosling's star power and the sci-fi adaptation's viral trailer have propelled trader consensus toward an $80 million-plus opening for Project Hail Mary, with 80-85m (44%) edging 75-80m (42%) amid strong pre-sale tracking from Amazon MGM Studios. Comparable to The Martian's $54m debut (inflation-adjusted ~$70m), the film's accessible space adventure—buoyed by Andy Weir's fanbase and Lord/Miller's Lego Movie pedigree—fuels optimism, though competition from A Minecraft Movie that March 2026 weekend caps upside potential beyond 85m (5.9%). Critical early buzz and Fandango metrics differentiate it from underperformers, but volatile tracking could shift odds before release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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