Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total March 2026 precipitation at approximately 42 mm, measured at the official Seoul station, placing it squarely in the 40-45 mm range and driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. This aligns closely with the climatological March average of around 39-45 mm, derived from decades of KMA records, amid typical early-spring conditions featuring moderate rainfall over 6-7 days, often from frontal systems. Model forecasts had anticipated this range based on East Asian monsoon precursors and neutral ENSO influences. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality-controlled observations or disputes over station-specific measurements, though KMA final tallies rarely shift post-monthly summary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
40-45mm 100.0%
<30mm <1%
30-35mm <1%
35-40mm <1%
$57,840 Vol.
$57,840 Vol.
<30mm
Não
30-35mm
Não
35-40mm
Não
40-45mm
Sim
45-50mm
Não
50-55mm
Não
55-60mm
Não
60 mm+
Não
40-45mm 100.0%
<30mm <1%
30-35mm <1%
35-40mm <1%
$57,840 Vol.
$57,840 Vol.
<30mm
Não
30-35mm
Não
35-40mm
Não
40-45mm
Sim
45-50mm
Não
50-55mm
Não
55-60mm
Não
60 mm+
Não
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total March 2026 precipitation at approximately 42 mm, measured at the official Seoul station, placing it squarely in the 40-45 mm range and driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome. This aligns closely with the climatological March average of around 39-45 mm, derived from decades of KMA records, amid typical early-spring conditions featuring moderate rainfall over 6-7 days, often from frontal systems. Model forecasts had anticipated this range based on East Asian monsoon precursors and neutral ENSO influences. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from quality-controlled observations or disputes over station-specific measurements, though KMA final tallies rarely shift post-monthly summary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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