Trader consensus favors Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video surpassing 3 million YouTube views in its first week, with 62% implied probability, driven by its explosive debut of 1.05 million views in the initial 24 hours following the April 2 upload—the third single from The Life of a Showgirl. Now at nearly 1.8 million views by day three, the unique archival tribute montage of Elizabeth Taylor clips has sparked widespread acclaim and Swiftie streaming parties, amplified by all royalties benefiting the Elizabeth Taylor AIDS Foundation. Historical precedents, like TTPD's 2.6 million week-one total, support momentum despite decelerating daily gains of around 480,000 on day two; a promotional push could solidify the frontrunner status before the April 9 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of views of Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" video on week 1?
# of views of Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" video on week 1?
3m+ 62%
2m-2.25m 38%
2.75-3m 26%
2.5-2.75m 24%
<2m
1%
2m-2.25m
38%
2.25-2.5m
22%
2.5-2.75m
24%
2.75-3m
26%
3m+
62%
3m+ 62%
2m-2.25m 38%
2.75-3m 26%
2.5-2.75m 24%
<2m
1%
2m-2.25m
38%
2.25-2.5m
22%
2.5-2.75m
24%
2.75-3m
26%
3m+
62%
This market will resolve according to the number of views Taylor Swift's new "Elizabeth Taylor" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "Elizabeth Taylor" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqbJT_vC0rs), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views Taylor Swift's new "Elizabeth Taylor" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 9, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "Elizabeth Taylor" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WqbJT_vC0rs), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Taylor Swift's "Elizabeth Taylor" music video surpassing 3 million YouTube views in its first week, with 62% implied probability, driven by its explosive debut of 1.05 million views in the initial 24 hours following the April 2 upload—the third single from The Life of a Showgirl. Now at nearly 1.8 million views by day three, the unique archival tribute montage of Elizabeth Taylor clips has sparked widespread acclaim and Swiftie streaming parties, amplified by all royalties benefiting the Elizabeth Taylor AIDS Foundation. Historical precedents, like TTPD's 2.6 million week-one total, support momentum despite decelerating daily gains of around 480,000 on day two; a promotional push could solidify the frontrunner status before the April 9 cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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