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Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

Market icon
Eleições·Senado

Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?

Chuck Schumer 30%

Brian Schatz 19%

John Thune 15%

Cory Booker 6.9%

Polymarket

$33,959 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 30%

Brian Schatz 19%

John Thune 15%

Cory Booker 6.9%

Polymarket

$33,959 Vol.

Chuck Schumer será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Chuck Schumer

$3,590 Vol.

30%

Brian Schatz será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Brian Schatz

$1,061 Vol.

19%

John Thune será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

John Thune

$480 Vol.

20%

Cory Booker será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Cory Booker

$644 Vol.

7%

John Barrasso será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

John Barrasso

$355 Vol.

5%

Mark Kelly será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Mark Kelly

$629 Vol.

4%

Lindsey Graham será o próximo Líder da Maioria no Senado? icon

Lindsey Graham

$8,492 Vol.

3%

Tom Cotton será o próximo Líder da Maioria no Senado? icon

Tom Cotton

$192 Vol.

3%

Steve Daines será o próximo líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Steve Daines

$18,016 Vol.

3%

Patty Murray será a próxima líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Patty Murray

$87 Vol.

3%

Amy Klobuchar será a próxima líder da maioria no Senado? icon

Amy Klobuchar

$412 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus prices Chuck Schumer as the narrow frontrunner for next Senate Majority Leader at 29.5%, with John Thune and Brian Schatz trailing closely at 20% and 19%, capturing the tossup dynamics of 2026 midterm control where Republicans defend 22 seats against Democrats' paths to a net gain of four flips. Recent polling edges for Democrats in battlegrounds like Texas, Maine, and Michigan—bolstered by strong challenger fundraising—have elevated flip odds to near coinflip levels, sustaining Schumer's edge as minority leader eyeing reclamation. GOP-aligned Senate Leadership Fund's $342 million commitment across eight states underscores defensive pressures on Thune, the incumbent majority leader. Schatz gains from reports of Schumer viewing him as preferred successor amid leadership transition speculation. Primaries and economic shifts could widen separations ahead of November balloting.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$33,959
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus prices Chuck Schumer as the narrow frontrunner for next Senate Majority Leader at 29.5%, with John Thune and Brian Schatz trailing closely at 20% and 19%, capturing the tossup dynamics of 2026 midterm control where Republicans defend 22 seats against Democrats' paths to a net gain of four flips. Recent polling edges for Democrats in battlegrounds like Texas, Maine, and Michigan—bolstered by strong challenger fundraising—have elevated flip odds to near coinflip levels, sustaining Schumer's edge as minority leader eyeing reclamation. GOP-aligned Senate Leadership Fund's $342 million commitment across eight states underscores defensive pressures on Thune, the incumbent majority leader. Schatz gains from reports of Schumer viewing him as preferred successor amid leadership transition speculation. Primaries and economic shifts could widen separations ahead of November balloting.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$33,959
Data de Término
3 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chuck Schumer" at 30%, followed by "John Thune" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" has generated $34K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" is "Chuck Schumer" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Thune" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo Líder da Maioria do Senado?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.