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Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

icon for Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?

85%+ 50%

82.5%–85% 35%

77.5%–80% 4.0%

<75% 3.7%

Polymarket

$10,003 Vol.

85%+ 50%

82.5%–85% 35%

77.5%–80% 4.0%

<75% 3.7%

Polymarket

$10,003 Vol.

<75%

$1,035 Vol.

4%

75%–77.5%

$357 Vol.

3%

77.5%–80%

$407 Vol.

4%

80%–82.5%

$1,486 Vol.

30%

82.5%–85%

$495 Vol.

35%

85%+

$6,222 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron's company guidance for approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin in fiscal Q3 2026, issued alongside its March earnings beat, anchors trader sentiment on the Polymarket, with the top two buckets (above 82.5%) commanding over 80% implied probability. Strong AI-driven demand for high-margin HBM and DRAM, favorable product mix shifts, pricing power amid tight industry supply, and lower costs have fueled sequential expansion from the prior quarter's 74.9% non-GAAP level. Analyst consensus sits near 79.8%, below guidance, but the market prices in potential upside from sustained data-center momentum ahead of the June 24 release. Macro factors like semiconductor cycle dynamics and capex efficiency further support elevated margin scenarios.

This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$10,003
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Micron's company guidance for approximately 81% non-GAAP gross margin in fiscal Q3 2026, issued alongside its March earnings beat, anchors trader sentiment on the Polymarket, with the top two buckets (above 82.5%) commanding over 80% implied probability. Strong AI-driven demand for high-margin HBM and DRAM, favorable product mix shifts, pricing power amid tight industry supply, and lower costs have fueled sequential expansion from the prior quarter's 74.9% non-GAAP level. Analyst consensus sits near 79.8%, below guidance, but the market prices in potential upside from sustained data-center momentum ahead of the June 24 release. Macro factors like semiconductor cycle dynamics and capex efficiency further support elevated margin scenarios.

This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$10,003
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Micron's announced adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP, as a percentage of revenue) for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "85%+" at 50%, followed by "82.5%–85%" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?" has generated $10K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?" is "85%+" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "82.5%–85%" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.