Megaquake até 31 de março?

Name: Megaquake até 31 de março?
Start: 2025-12-29T23:07:18.198Z
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Megaquake até 31 de março?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Mar 31

Jun 30

Sim

3% chance

$109,548 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

Sim

3% chance

$109,548 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater. This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Megaquake até 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Megaterremoto até 31 de março?" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Megaquake até 31 de março?" has generated $109.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Megaquake até 31 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Megaquake até 31 de março?" is "Megaterremoto até 31 de março?" at just 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Megaquake até 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Megaquake até 31 de março?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $109.5K traded on “Megaquake até 31 de março?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Megaquake até 31 de março?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 3¢ for "Megaterremoto até 31 de março?" in the "Megaquake até 31 de março?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 3% chance that "Megaterremoto até 31 de março?" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 3¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 97¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Megaquake até 31 de março?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Megaquake até 31 de março?" market has an active community of 19 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Megaquake até 31 de março?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Megaquake até 31 de março?

Megaquake até 31 de março?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Frequently Asked Questions

Megaquake até 31 de março?

Megaquake até 31 de março?

Livro de Pedidos

Livro de Pedidos

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (19)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Megaquake até 31 de março?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Megaquake até 31 de março?" generated on Polymarket?

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What are the current odds for "Megaquake até 31 de março?"?

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Can I follow "Megaquake até 31 de março?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Megaquake até 31 de março?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Megaquake até 31 de março?"?

What does a price of 3¢ for "Megaterremoto até 31 de março?" mean?

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