Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on March 29, driven by official METAR observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) recording 17°C at 15:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus upgrades, showing highs of 17–19°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild southerly air masses—well above the late-March climatological average of 9°C. With peak solar heating past and sunset approaching, uncertainty is minimal; only an improbable station data revision or equipment anomaly could alter the outcome, per standard protocols from Poland's IMGW and international verification standards. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 29?
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$166,540 Vol.
$166,540 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$166,540 Vol.
$166,540 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Warsaw's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on March 29, driven by official METAR observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport (EPWA) recording 17°C at 15:00 local time amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with recent ECMWF and GFS model consensus upgrades, showing highs of 17–19°C under a high-pressure ridge advecting mild southerly air masses—well above the late-March climatological average of 9°C. With peak solar heating past and sunset approaching, uncertainty is minimal; only an improbable station data revision or equipment anomaly could alter the outcome, per standard protocols from Poland's IMGW and international verification standards. Final IMGW daily summary expected soon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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