Trader sentiment on Polymarket for June GC gold settlement tilts bullish, with tightly matched implied probabilities of 18.5% for $4,600-$5,000 and 17.8% for $4,200-$4,600, aggregating 36.3% above $4,200 amid expectations of further Federal Reserve easing. September's 50 basis point rate cut and sticky inflation data have propelled spot gold above $2,700/oz to record highs, amplifying safe-haven demand from geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine, plus robust central bank buying. Key differentiators include November FOMC outcomes and CPI releases; sustained USD weakness below DXY 100 could push toward $5,000, while resilient US jobs data risks capping at $4,200. Historical precedents like 2020's rally underscore uncertainty in this trader consensus backed by real capital.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
Qual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.600-$5.000 19%
$4.200-$4.600 17.8%
$3.800-$4.200 14.8%
$5.000-$5.400 14.6%
$367,820 Vol.
$367,820 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
9%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
18%
$4.600-$5.000
19%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
11%
$5.800-$6.200
9%
>US$6.200
7%
$4.600-$5.000 19%
$4.200-$4.600 17.8%
$3.800-$4.200 14.8%
$5.000-$5.400 14.6%
$367,820 Vol.
$367,820 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
9%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
18%
$4.600-$5.000
19%
$5.000-$5.400
15%
$5.400-$5.800
11%
$5.800-$6.200
9%
>US$6.200
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for June GC gold settlement tilts bullish, with tightly matched implied probabilities of 18.5% for $4,600-$5,000 and 17.8% for $4,200-$4,600, aggregating 36.3% above $4,200 amid expectations of further Federal Reserve easing. September's 50 basis point rate cut and sticky inflation data have propelled spot gold above $2,700/oz to record highs, amplifying safe-haven demand from geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Ukraine, plus robust central bank buying. Key differentiators include November FOMC outcomes and CPI releases; sustained USD weakness below DXY 100 could push toward $5,000, while resilient US jobs data risks capping at $4,200. Historical precedents like 2020's rally underscore uncertainty in this trader consensus backed by real capital.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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