Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a modest gold rally by June 30, with implied probabilities favoring GC futures settling above $2,350 (currently ~52%) amid dovish Fed signals from the June 12 FOMC meeting, where rates held steady but dot-plot revisions pointed to one 2025 cut. Spot gold trades near $2,325/oz, up 15% YTD, buoyed by softening U.S. real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.05%) and persistent central bank buying from China and India. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven tailwinds, though a stronger dollar risks capping gains. Watch June 28 PCE inflation data for resolution cues, as softer prints could push market-implied odds higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que o Gold (GC) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O que o Gold (GC) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$2,061,386 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
3%
↑ US$8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
4%
↑ $7.000
5%
↑ US$6.500
8%
↑ $6.200
10%
↑ $6.000
12%
↑ $5.700
24%
↑ $5.500
32%
↓ $4.200
54%
↓ $3.800
15%
↓ $3.400
7%
$2,061,386 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
3%
↑ US$8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
4%
↑ $7.000
5%
↑ US$6.500
8%
↑ $6.200
10%
↑ $6.000
12%
↑ $5.700
24%
↑ $5.500
32%
↓ $4.200
54%
↓ $3.800
15%
↓ $3.400
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in a modest gold rally by June 30, with implied probabilities favoring GC futures settling above $2,350 (currently ~52%) amid dovish Fed signals from the June 12 FOMC meeting, where rates held steady but dot-plot revisions pointed to one 2025 cut. Spot gold trades near $2,325/oz, up 15% YTD, buoyed by softening U.S. real yields (10-year TIPS at -0.05%) and persistent central bank buying from China and India. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven tailwinds, though a stronger dollar risks capping gains. Watch June 28 PCE inflation data for resolution cues, as softer prints could push market-implied odds higher.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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