Polymarket traders, wagering millions in volume, imply a consensus around Gold (GC) Active Month futures settling in the $4,200–$4,600 range by June's final trading day, with 20% probability on that bracket amid recent downside momentum. Spot gold trades near $4,676 per ounce as of April 5, down over 8% in the past month following March's 10% plunge—the largest since 2013—driven by U.S. dollar strength (DXY ~100) and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.31%. Sticky inflation (February CPI +2.4% year-over-year) and Fed funds steady at 3.50%–3.75% temper rate-cut bets, capping upside despite long-term bank forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 end-2026 target. Key catalysts: March CPI release April 10 and April 28–29 FOMC meeting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO que o Gold (GC) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O que o Gold (GC) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$3,436,469 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
1%
↑ US$8.500
1%
↑ $9.000
2%
↑ $8.000
2%
↑ $7.000
2%
↑ US$6.500
5%
↑ $6.200
8%
↑ $6.000
9%
↑ $5.700
18%
↑ $5.500
26%
↓ $4.200
40%
↓ $3.800
15%
↓ $3.400
5%
$3,436,469 Vol.
↑ US$ 10.000
1%
↑ US$8.500
1%
↑ $9.000
2%
↑ $8.000
2%
↑ $7.000
2%
↑ US$6.500
5%
↑ $6.200
8%
↑ $6.000
9%
↑ $5.700
18%
↑ $5.500
26%
↓ $4.200
40%
↓ $3.800
15%
↓ $3.400
5%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders, wagering millions in volume, imply a consensus around Gold (GC) Active Month futures settling in the $4,200–$4,600 range by June's final trading day, with 20% probability on that bracket amid recent downside momentum. Spot gold trades near $4,676 per ounce as of April 5, down over 8% in the past month following March's 10% plunge—the largest since 2013—driven by U.S. dollar strength (DXY ~100) and rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.31%. Sticky inflation (February CPI +2.4% year-over-year) and Fed funds steady at 3.50%–3.75% temper rate-cut bets, capping upside despite long-term bank forecasts like Goldman Sachs' $5,400 end-2026 target. Key catalysts: March CPI release April 10 and April 28–29 FOMC meeting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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