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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 35.0%

França 13.1%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Austrália 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,304,746 Vol.

Finlândia 35.0%

França 13.1%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Austrália 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,304,746 Vol.

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Finlândia

$1,822,670 Vol.

35%

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França

$1,370,224 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$868,832 Vol.

11%

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Austrália

$1,147,941 Vol.

8%

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Grécia

$1,273,994 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,198,785 Vol.

4%

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Suécia

$920,589 Vol.

4%

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Itália

$1,485,521 Vol.

3%

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Ucrânia

$1,086,239 Vol.

2%

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Romênia

$871,319 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,065,279 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$937,982 Vol.

1%

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Chéquia

$757,299 Vol.

1%

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Bulgária

$1,081,542 Vol.

1%

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Moldávia

$1,055,945 Vol.

1%

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Alemanha

$872,968 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$2,205,156 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,017,412 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$672,883 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,183 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$932,358 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,243,059 Vol.

1%

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Albânia

$1,859,849 Vol.

<1%

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Armênia

$1,942,948 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijão

$2,312,735 Vol.

<1%

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Geórgia

$1,984,718 Vol.

<1%

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Lituânia

$1,444,798 Vol.

<1%

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Polônia

$1,824,318 Vol.

<1%

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Sérvia

$760,458 Vol.

<1%

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Áustria

$1,706,764 Vol.

<1%

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Estônia

$2,202,913 Vol.

<1%

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Letônia

$1,942,172 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,754 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,025,257 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,315,893 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 35% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK national final victory on February 28, earning nearly triple the points of runners-up with broad jury and televote appeal reminiscent of Finland's 2023 televote smash "Cha Cha Cha." Recent buzz intensified after Lampenius's March 21 EBU application to perform violin live—banned under standard rules—boosting its unique staging potential ahead of Vienna rehearsals. France (13%) and Denmark (11.1%) hold strong on polished pop entries from recent national finals, while Australia (7.8%) and Greece (6.7%) draw Nordic/Balkan televote loyalty; trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game bets on Finland's dual-vote momentum, though jury-televote splits and late previews could shift dynamics before the May 16 grand final.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 35%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $49.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.