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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 34.9%

França 13.1%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Austrália 7.7%

Polymarket

$49,353,495 Vol.

Finlândia 34.9%

França 13.1%

Dinamarca 11.1%

Austrália 7.7%

Polymarket

$49,353,495 Vol.

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Finlândia

$1,822,699 Vol.

35%

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França

$1,370,239 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$869,090 Vol.

11%

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Austrália

$1,148,419 Vol.

8%

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Grécia

$1,274,083 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,198,835 Vol.

4%

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Suécia

$920,908 Vol.

4%

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Ucrânia

$1,086,364 Vol.

2%

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Itália

$1,485,790 Vol.

2%

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Romênia

$871,334 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,065,396 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$937,997 Vol.

1%

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Chéquia

$757,314 Vol.

1%

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Moldávia

$1,064,476 Vol.

1%

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Bulgária

$1,093,587 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$2,205,526 Vol.

1%

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Alemanha

$873,461 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,017,427 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$672,898 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,203 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$932,482 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,243,423 Vol.

1%

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Albânia

$1,861,778 Vol.

<1%

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Armênia

$1,944,907 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijão

$2,314,439 Vol.

<1%

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Geórgia

$1,987,273 Vol.

<1%

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Lituânia

$1,446,532 Vol.

<1%

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Polônia

$1,825,717 Vol.

<1%

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Sérvia

$760,473 Vol.

<1%

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Áustria

$1,707,968 Vol.

<1%

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Estônia

$2,204,388 Vol.

<1%

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Letônia

$1,944,030 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,870,775 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,028,194 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,317,008 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched UMK with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" – a violin-driven spectacle featuring live flamethrowers – on February 28, catapulting them to a commanding 35% implied probability as Polymarket's frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 crown in Vienna. The entry's bold staging and dual jury-televote appeal have fueled recent buzz, including viral reactions praising its innovation. France's Monroe, unveiled shortly after, rocketed to 13% on operatic momentum from their national selection, while Denmark lingers at 11.1% with strong Nordic staging previews. Trader sentiment hinges on these early standouts amid ongoing selections, with semis on May 12-14 as key catalysts before the May 16 final.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched UMK with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" – a violin-driven spectacle featuring live flamethrowers – on February 28, catapulting them to a commanding 35% implied probability as Polymarket's frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 crown in Vienna. The entry's bold staging and dual jury-televote appeal have fueled recent buzz, including viral reactions praising its innovation. France's Monroe, unveiled shortly after, rocketed to 13% on operatic momentum from their national selection, while Denmark lingers at 11.1% with strong Nordic staging previews. Trader sentiment hinges on these early standouts amid ongoing selections, with semis on May 12-14 as key catalysts before the May 16 final.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched UMK with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" – a violin-driven spectacle featuring live flamethrowers – on February 28, catapulting them to a commanding 35% implied probability as Polymarket's frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 crown in Vienna. The entry's bold staging and dual jury-televote appeal have fueled recent buzz, including viral reactions praising its innovation. France's Monroe, unveiled shortly after, rocketed to 13% on operatic momentum from their national selection, while Denmark lingers at 11.1% with strong Nordic staging previews. Trader sentiment hinges on these early standouts amid ongoing selections, with semis on May 12-14 as key catalysts before the May 16 final.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen clinched UMK with the high-energy "Liekinheitin" – a violin-driven spectacle featuring live flamethrowers – on February 28, catapulting them to a commanding 35% implied probability as Polymarket's frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 crown in Vienna. The entry's bold staging and dual jury-televote appeal have fueled recent buzz, including viral reactions praising its innovation. France's Monroe, unveiled shortly after, rocketed to 13% on operatic momentum from their national selection, while Denmark lingers at 11.1% with strong Nordic staging previews. Trader sentiment hinges on these early standouts amid ongoing selections, with semis on May 12-14 as key catalysts before the May 16 final.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 35%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $49.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.